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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (หนังสือปกอ่อน)

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คำอธิบาย

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.

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